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Selling Indicators, continued

Finding Flaws In Company Fundamentals

If you want clues to a stock's decline, you can basically take all the financial indicators that drive a stock up — such as earnings growth, sales growth and profit margins — and turn them upside down. These are your red flags:

  • A sharp slowdown in earnings growth in back-to-back quarters. For example, if a company's earnings growth has been in the 100% range for several quarters, it's bad news when that slows down to 20% or 30%. Wall Street has little patience and will quickly turn its attention to other, faster-growing companies. You should also pay attention to companies whose earnings or sales growth break a habitual pattern. For example, if a company had earnings growth over several quarters between 25% and 35% then reports three quarters of steady deceleration, this could be a red flag. Such subtle slowdowns in earnings or sales can sometimes lead to the company eventually missing earnings forecasts.
     
  • Check IBD SmartSelect® Corporate Ratings in the stock tables. Be careful with any stock whose Earnings Per Share Rating slips below 70. This means 30% of stocks are producing better results. Details on earnings announcements appear daily in IBD's Earnings News section.
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(For Sample Purposes Only)
  • Significant drops in other main fundamentals — sales growth, profit margins and return on equity — should serve as warning signs, especially if the stock starts having trouble making gains. Check the Sales+Profit Margins+ROE Rating for any significant drops in this gauge.
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Related Resources:

Review IBD's 20 Rules For Stock Market Success.

Go to the Investor's Corner Archives to read IBD's "editor picks" of classic Investor's Corner columns.

Search our archive of Ask Bill O'Neil Q & A's organized by topic.

 
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